The 2024 election dynamics are prompted by President Joe Biden's cancer diagnosis and a new book critical of him, alongside fresh data from researchers. The progressive firm Catalist reveals that the Kamala Harris/Tim Walz ticket maintained segments of Biden's 2020 coalition but saw declines in specific groups like young voters and voters of color. This disengagement among less frequent voters and urbanish demographics contributed to the success of the Trump/Vance ticket, which secured a popular vote plurality and swing state wins. The report recognizes a worrying trend of diminishing support for Democrats, particularly among Latino and diverse voters.
The overall findings indicate that while the Democratic ticket retained some support from the 2020 coalition, engagement levels significantly dropped among younger, urban, and diverse voters.
Research shows that younger voters and voters of color are generally less engaged, which contributed to key losses in the Democratic coalition during the 2024 election.
The erosion of Democratic support, particularly among voters of color, highlights a critical shift in the electorate that cannot be overlooked heading into future elections.
Democratic support has consistently eroded among voter demographics, with notable declines among Latino, Black, and AAPI groups, suggesting a troubling trend for the party.
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