How the electorate has changed in key states and what it could mean this election
Briefly

White voters without college degrees have declined significantly since 2008, now projected to be less than 40% of the electorate in 2024, impacting political dynamics.
Democrats gained support among college-educated whites and Asian Americans, while maintaining leads with Black voters and Latinos, reflecting significant demographic shifts in voter preferences.
Despite demographic changes, Republicans continue to hold fundamental advantages on key issues like the economy and immigration, demonstrating that demographics alone do not determine electoral success.
The analysis by demographer William Frey highlights critical changes in swing states, particularly the rise of Latino voters in Arizona and Nevada, reshaping U.S. electoral politics.
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