The Middle East is undergoing a significant fertility decline, with total fertility rates (TFR) halving since the 1960s. Women previously had an average of seven children, but by the early 2010s, this number fell to approximately three. Countries in the region noted a TFR decline between 3.8% and 24.3% from 2011 to 2021. As of 2023, five of the Arab League's twenty-two member states have a TFR below 2.1, indicating a drop in birth rates, notably in the United Arab Emirates at 1.2.
Fertility rates in the Middle East have dropped dramatically, more than halving since the 1960s. Women averaged seven children; now, it's around three by early 2010s.
The Middle East is experiencing the greatest fertility decline globally, with a TFR decline of 3.8% to 24.3% from 2011 to 2021, most notably in Jordan, Iraq, and Yemen.
By 2023, five Arab League states had a TFR below 2.1, with the UAE at just 1.2, lower than Germany's estimated 1.38 in 2024.
Yemeni women averaged nine children between 1975 and 1980, but now they have around five, which is still the highest TFR in the region.
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