
"When United States President Donald Trump measures success by counting how many Iranian leaders the US and Israel have killed or how many Iranian boats or missile launchers have been destroyed, he's looking at the wrong metric, argues a former US special envoy to Iran, Rob Malley."
"Malley told host Steve Clemons that the only way out of this war is a settlement that respects our core interests, but also theirs."
"To calculate the odds of a deal, Malley said, psychologists may be more useful than experts because it really depends on the mindset of President Trump."
Trump measures success by counting Iranian leaders killed and Iranian boats or missile launchers destroyed. That approach uses the wrong metric for ending the conflict. A way out requires a settlement that respects core interests of the United States and Iran. The likelihood of reaching a deal depends heavily on the mindset of President Trump. Psychologists may be more useful than experts for estimating odds because negotiation outcomes are shaped by personal attitudes and decision-making patterns. Current talks have a very small chance of success under these conditions.
#us-iran-relations #negotiation-strategy #presidential-decision-making #conflict-de-escalation #middle-east-security
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