#forecast-models

#forecast-models

The GFS model shows a more aggressive scenario, suggesting a longer-lasting storm with the potential for 12 to 16 of snow in parts of the region. The NAM (North American Model) also brings snow Sunday night into Monday, but keeps the heaviest bands more limited, with less impact north into the Hudson Valley and parts of northern New Jersey. Other guidance, including the Baron model, keeps the storm farther offshore, which would significantly reduce snowfall totals in the New York City area.

The National Weather Service is predicting calm and pleasant conditions leading up to the holiday. "Overall, very dry and calm weather remains ongoing at least into early next week," the weather service said. Temperatures should reach the low to mid 80s each day and from the mid to high 60s each night. Weather service temperature maps show above-normal temperatures for most of the Southeast through Black Friday. The second half of Thanksgiving week and beyond is much more up in the air, experts said.