#gilts

#gilts

The Chancellor is boxed in by her own numbers and by political reality,

I worry about complacency. Fiscal room for manoeuvre is thin across the developed world, and the toolkit that helped during the financial crisis-large‑scale QE, in particular-can't be mobilised in the same way again. Yields have risen sharply but mostly in an orderly fashion; we've not had many "cliff‑edge" moments outside Japan. That doesn't mean we're safe. If market participants decide they will only finance governments at much higher rates, the spiral can be vicious. We're vulnerable to that kind of shift in sentiment.