#information-reliability

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#prediction-markets #crowd-wisdom #crisis-forecasting #middle-east #trust #deception #skepticism
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fromThe Verge
3 days ago

Polymarket defends its decision to allow betting on war as 'invaluable'

Prediction markets harness collective intelligence to generate accurate, unbiased forecasts for significant events, offering superior insights compared to traditional media during crises.
fromPsychology Today
5 months ago

The Power and Peril of Trust

Trust is our basic response to people and the things they tell us (Grice, 1975; Schwarz & Jalbert, 2020). If someone tells us something, we tend to believe they are doing their best to tell us the truth. If we walk into a store, we trust the prices listed are what we'll pay. We trust that the item inside the box is what's listed on the outside of the box.
Psychology
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