An uncertainty guru says investors can't dismiss doubt - and even Warren Buffett's success may be down to luck

"Investors will be led astray by Paulson, Musk or anyone else if they assess what he says about the future without recognizing uncertainty... it leads over a cliff."

"Short-term it can work but eventually it leads over a cliff - a divided state. Investors should adopt an 'integrated state' where they recognize there's uncertainty and investigate it."

Read at Business Insider