Uncertainty manifests as our cognitive limit in understanding future events or our past, leading us to approximate possibilities in various domains.
While we utilize numerical probabilities in predictions, it's crucial to recognize that these figures are shaped by subjective judgments and assumptions.
The Bay of Pigs invasion exemplifies the danger of misinterpreting uncertainty; a 30% success rate presented as 'fair chance' led to a disastrous outcome.
Probability calculations in science and other fields are not objective truths, but rather estimations influenced by individual or collective interpretations.
Collection
[
|
...
]