European analysts express concern that escalating conflict in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, could destabilize the Horn of Africa, which is facing its deepest crisis in nearly three decades. This region suffers from interconnected conflicts, such as the collaboration between Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and Al-Shabab militants in Somalia. As these alliances grow stronger, European countries may need to refocus their foreign policy and support for humanitarian efforts in Africa, where crises are increasing due to diminished attention from the West.
Hendrik Maihack of the German Friedrich Ebert Foundation warns that further escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict could destabilize the interconnected wars around the Red Sea.
Maihack emphasizes that Iranian support for Houthi rebels in Yemen, who collaborate with Al-Shabab in Somalia, complicates the European response to African conflicts.
Guido Lanfranchi from Clingendael Institute notes that the collaboration between the Houthis and Al-Shabab has intensified, threatening regional stability.
Lanfranchi describes the Horn of Africa as strategically vital for both Iran and Israel, affecting military dynamics and resource distribution in the region.
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