Betting odds called the 2024 election better than polls did. What does this mean for the future of prediction markets?
Briefly

The polls consistently underestimated Donald Trump's support in this election cycle, which is a continuation of a trend seen over the past three elections.
Polling averages were reasonably accurate in Sun Belt states, with most predicting Trump was ahead in Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona for much of the year.
Despite the polling discrepancies, prediction markets indicated a strong chance of a Trump victory, with betting odds suggesting around a 57% chance leading up to the election.
The overestimation of Democratic margins in previous elections raises questions about polling methodologies and their ability to reflect changing voter sentiments.
Read at Fast Company
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