As we’ll likely see this evening, these self-anointed oracles often hold limited value. Though an entire industry is devoted to understanding the American electorate, the volatility of the past decade has rendered much of it obsolete.
What is certain is that this election marks another precarious moment for the United States. The dramas of the past two decades have become mainstays of American politics: impeachments, assassination attempts, indictments... are no longer Constitutional bugs but defining features of the American system.
The battle between competing visions of America-as a nation or as an empire-remains the defining question of our time. Despite Washington's hopes that Donald Trump's potential electoral defeat or imprisonment will end this debate in their favor, it is likely that this struggle will persist long after Trump's tenure.
A Harris victory tonight will not erase the influence of Trump's personality from public life. A generation of Americans has come of age in the shadow of Trump's America First revolution.
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