The latest Chronicle poll indicates a close race for the San Francisco mayoral election, with London Breed leading in first-choice votes but Daniel Lurie ahead in second-choice votes, suggesting a possible Lurie victory in the ranked-choice system.
In a polling analysis conducted by Sextant Strategies, Lurie showcases strong support in second-choice ballots, revealing that he could secure a significant 56%-44% win over Breed in the final counted rounds of ranked-choice voting.
Sextant Strategies president Jonathan Brown noted that while Mayor Breed showed some initial recovery in polling, the race's dynamics shifted as the city electorate began to focus more intently on the implications of these elections.
The mayoral race’s fluctuating nature is underscored by the fact that, throughout several polls, candidates like Mark Farrell have alternately led or fallen behind, ultimately illustrating the unpredictability of voter sentiments leading to the November 5 election.
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