#investor-sentiment

#investor-sentiment

According to the latest data from market intelligence firm Santiment, the average XRP investor is currently weathering a significant storm. Wallets active on the XRP Ledger over the past year are seeing average returns plummet to minus 41%. This decline has pushed the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio into an undervaluation zone, suggesting that most holders are currently in the red.

"Private investors have seized on gold's price drop. Gold's sudden retreat has given buyers the chance to reset the clock back before January's historic price spike."

U.S. financial markets experienced a volatile week, largely influenced by geopolitical developments in the Middle East and fluctuations in energy prices. Investor sentiment was driven primarily by external events rather than domestic fundamentals.

Investors were cautiously optimistic at the beginning of President Donald Trump's military campaign, largely betting that the conflict would be contained and that strong corporate earnings and a resilient economy would eventually reassert themselves. But that optimism appears to be fraying as the war drags on and energy markets remain under pressure.

Donald Trump declared that talks with Iran were progressing well, which single handedly ended a stock market plunge yesterday.

Chevron delivered record worldwide production of 4,045 MBOED in 2025, up 12% year-over-year, giving it more barrels to sell into a recovering price environment. Operating cash flow hit $33.9 billion for the full year, covering the $12.8 billion dividend payout by roughly 2.7 times, a cushion that makes a dividend cut look unlikely even in a moderate oil price downturn.

The VIX index, often referred to as Wall Street's "fear gauge," rose by 23%, indicating a sharp uptick in investor anxiety and concerns about market stability. A higher VIX suggests that investors anticipate potential volatility and seek protection against market downturns.

Subscription & Support, which generates 95.5 percent of the company's total revenue with $10.7 billion, saw 13 percent growth on an annual basis. Each segment within this division is now called Agentforce, a clear move to place AI even more centrally in external communications. However, expectations for the coming year ($45.8 to $46.2 billion) are on the low side compared to the $46.06 billion predicted by analysts.

Headline numbers were solid: revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $2.59 billion, adjusted EPS of $1.03 beat expectations, and next-generation security ARR jumped 33% to $6.33 billion. But management trimmed its full-year profit outlook due to acquisition costs, and Q3 EPS guidance missed expectations, sending shares down 5-7% in after-hours trading.

Differentiating from other social media powerhouses like Facebook or Instagram, Reddit has shifted its niche to a data engine. Spencer Platt/Getty Images Its fourth quarter 2025 earnings: Q4 2025 earnings increased 70% year-over-year to $726 million. Full-year revenue $2.2 billion. Digital advertising increased 75% in Q4. Analysts are focused on Reddit's "human" conversations, like the threads you often see, and are using them to train AI models.

For one, there's the sheer speed and breadth of it. In the span of two days, hundreds of billions of dollars were wiped off the value of stocks, bonds and loans of companies big and small across Silicon Valley. Software stocks were at the epicenter, plunging so much that the value of those tracked in an iShares ETF has now dropped almost $1 trillion over the past seven days.

The resilience of gold above $4,800 per ounce at this stage reflects a delicate and complex balance between traditional supporting factors and emerging pressures-one that cannot be superficially interpreted or reduced to the movement of the dollar alone. It is true that the U.S. dollar's retreat from its recent peaks, after failing to sustain its recovery momentum from a four-year low, provided gold with a short-term breather and attracted some buyers.

The company said Sunday night that it planned to raise up to $50 billion in debt and equity during the 2026 calendar year to fund additional data center capacity for its cloud customers. The market's initial reaction was favorable, with Oracle shares rising about 2% in early trading, as investors took the announcement as confirmation that demand for AI infrastructure remained strong and contracted. The market seemed to feel confident that Oracle actually had a plan to address its roughly $100 billion debt load.

The AI lab has begun informal talks with Wall Street banks and hired new finance executives to prepare for the listing, according to a report from The Wall Street Journal. Representatives for OpenAI did not immediately respond to a request for comment from Fortune. But while the company is currently valued at $500 billion, it has said it doesn't expect to turn a profit until 2030.

Rivian Automotive ( NASDAQ:RIVN) delivered 42,247 vehicles in 2025, down 18% year over year, yet the stock surged 49% over the past 12 months. The company's $23.8 billion market cap reflects investor belief in its Amazon delivery van partnership, optimism around its upcoming R2, and adventure-focused consumer trucks. Third quarter revenue hit $1.56 billion, up 78% year over year, though the company still burns cash with a negative 3.1% gross margin.

While the S&P 500 has notched a terrific year by all accounts, with gains of roughly 16%, the underlying foundation of this really is being tested by a series of significant policy shifts.

Bank of America's "Bull & Bear Indicator" rose from 7.9 to 8.5 in the last few days, triggering its contrarian "sell" signal for risk assets, according to a note from analyst Michael Hartnett and his colleagues seen by Fortune this morning. The indicator is derived from BofA's regular fund manager survey, which asks 200-plus investment managers about their appetite for risk. The logic of the Bull & Bear Indicator is that when everyone in the market is bullish, it's time to leave.