#economic-forecast

#economic-forecast

2025 may be defined by escalating political tensions and societal challenges, reminiscent of issues depicted in Billy Joel's iconic lyrics.

ING's chief economist warns of economic risks from Trump’s return, specifically his protectionist policies impacting European stability.

Goldman Sachs predicts S&P 500 could reach 6,500, fueled by strong earnings but jeopardized by geopolitical tensions and inflation risks.

Investors favor blue-chip dividend stocks for stable income and total return potential.

Warren Buffett's recent market actions signal cautiousness, as he sold significant shares and is holding cash for potential market downturns.

The stock market has surged significantly, with predictions for continued growth despite concerns over valuation and potential downturns.

Mortgage rates are expected to stay elevated through summer due to Fed's decision to keep interest rates steady.

Trump's election is influencing mortgage rate forecasts and increasing uncertainty in the housing market.

Housing market may revive with expected mortgage rate cuts and job growth, leading to increased home sales by 9% in 2025 and 13% in 2026.

The Fed's recent interest rate cut won't significantly lower mortgage rates for homebuyers. Long-term projections indicate rates may remain high through 2025.

High mortgage rates have significantly cooled the residential real estate market, creating challenges for potential homebuyers.

The housing market is unexpectedly resilient, with price growth forecasts despite high borrowing costs.

House prices in the UK are projected to rise over 3% in 2024, bucking earlier expectations.

Bank of Canada maintains 5% interest rate for the sixth consecutive time.

Expectations of the first rate cut during the June 5 meeting.

Inflation rose to 2.6% in October, matching forecasts and influencing Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.

Britain's economy faces contraction as business confidence hits a two-year low following Chancellor Reeves's budget.

Inflation is easing as consumer price increases slowed notably in May.

Inflation has decreased to 2.1%, nearing pre-pandemic levels, yet core prices remain elevated, suggesting continued inflationary pressures.

Federal Reserve unlikely to lower interest rates soon, aiming for one rate cut by year-end.

Stocks could benefit from strong economic data, particularly with a solid payroll report boosting investor confidence.

Market activity is subdued ahead of major economic events, notably the US retail sales report and the final FOMC decision of the year.

Tri Pointe Homes anticipates a strong spring selling season driven by home demand, despite ongoing supply challenges in the housing market.

National home prices are expected to rise by an average of 3.5% in 2025, with Freddie Mac predicting only 0.6% growth.

U.S. home prices are projected to rise 2.9% from October 2024 to October 2025, despite low inventory and high mortgage rates.

US GDP may decline by 0.5% if Trump wins due to tariffs and immigration policy; Democratic victory could result in slight GDP boost.

Trump's administration could significantly affect California's economy through increased tariffs and immigration crackdowns.

Global sales of personal luxury goods are expected to shrink in 2025, potentially impacted by tariffs and global economic challenges.

Ad spending is forecasted to grow slowly in 2025 after a post-pandemic boom, emphasizing caution in the advertising industry.

The advertising market is experiencing unusual growth, but forecasts indicate a decline to mid-single-digit rates in the future.

US GDP grew at 2.8%, slightly below expectations, indicating healthy growth despite challenges.

The UK economy experienced a slight growth in August, indicating potential recovery despite broader challenges.

The UK economy expanded by 0.3% in 2023, tripling previous growth estimates, indicating a quicker recovery than anticipated.

Business confidence has declined due to rising tax concerns, jeopardizing investment and overall economic stability in the UK.

The Eurozone's economic outlook worsens as manufacturing declines and interest rate cuts by the ECB are anticipated.

The Federal Reserve surprised markets with a 50 bps interest rate cut, but remains behind optimal rate targets.

The rise in unemployment to 4.3% triggers recession indicator Sahm Rule since it's at least half a percent higher than the 12-month low.

Experts are divided on the possibility of an impending recession, some believe the economy can recover while others see rising unemployment as a sign of economic contraction.

The Dollar is consolidating as markets anticipate Fed Chair Powell's pivotal speech on interest rate strategy.

Investors are anxiously awaiting labor market data on September 6, 2024, which will heavily influence economic policy and market stability.

US labour market report adds uncertainty to Fed rate cut expectations, keeping markets on edge with a stronger inclination towards easing than likely to be delivered.

Investors should prepare for potential market downturns as active volatility may indicate an impending collapse of the current stock market bubble.

Elon Musk may become the first trillionaire by 2027, with several others predicted to follow by 2034.

Gold prices could reach $2,600 an ounce due to anticipated US interest rate cuts.

Interest rate cut expected in September could make real estate a valuable investment.

REITs provide high dividend yields as pass-through entities, with thematic REITs showing strong potential.

Opportunities present for investors to capitalize on real estate sector as interest rates are forecasted to decrease.

Mortgage approvals in the UK at lowest since January due to high interest rates.

A potential interest rate cut by Bank of England this summer is plausible.

The fall in service inflation may lead to another interest rate cut by the Bank of England next month.